How to select the best Mutual Fund?
People normally, just see the return by a fund to select the fund to invest but there are number of things one must take into consideration to select the best fund to invest in. Also, some do check out some of the popular websites to see the best performing fund and blindly invest in the same. However, investment in mutual fund altogether requires different parameters that are needed to be analysed and then implemented. I feel and differ with some of the Financial Planners, who suggest that one should invest in a fund that has given proven returns and the one that is old enough.
I strongly believe in Dr. Manmohan Singh’s statement that “Nothing can stop an idea – whose time has come”. Similar story here and I think one should change before change rather than change with the change or change after the change. Yes, one who is reading may feel perplexed and confused but I am talking about Aggressive Mutual funds and the funds who are thematic in nature. I am a strong critic for those who believe investing in old mutual funds which has given proven returns. Though I do consider, the funds which have constantly given good or decent returns have greater chances to give the same returns in near future and in long term future too. Anyway, my criteria for selecting a fund differs with other planners as I feel when selecting a mutual fund one should be long-long term investor, a Little aggressive and should know about the companies where the fund is planning to invest rather than being satisfied with the brand or the returns generated by the fund earlier.
Firstly, I want to make one thing clear that investment in mutual funds especially Equity funds should be done if you have surplus money and do not need the same in a few years time. Any investment in Equity fund or even in stocks requires patience and if you feel stressed and uneasy every day upon your decrease in the capital that you have invested, you are requested to please stay away from the Equity Market.
Criteria for selecting a Mutual fund OR Ground rules of investing in Mutual Fund:
The world of investments too has several ground rules meant for investors who are novices in their own right and wish to enter the myriad world of investments. These come in handy for there is every possibility of losing what one has if due care is not taken.
Assess yourself:
Self-assessment of one’s needs; expectations and risk profile is of prime importance failing which; one will make more mistakes in putting money in right places than otherwise. One should identify the degree of risk bearing capacity one has and also clearly state the expectations from the investments. Irrational expectations will only bring pain.
Don't rush in picking funds, think first: One first has to decide what he wants the money for and it is this investment goal that should be the guiding light for all investments done. It is thus important to know the risks associated with the fund and align it with the quantum of risk one is willing to take. One should take a look at the portfolio of the funds for the purpose. Excessive exposure to any specific sector should be avoided, as it will only add to the risk of the entire portfolio. Mutual funds invest with a certain ideology such as the "Value Principle" or "Growth Philosophy". Both have their share of critics but both philosophies work for investors of different kinds. Identifying the proposed investment philosophy of the fund will give an insight into the kind of risks that it shall be taking in future.
Invest. Don’t speculate:
A common investor is limited in the degree of risk that he is willing to take. It is thus of key importance that there is thought given to the process of investment and to the time horizon of the intended investment. One should abstain from speculating which in other words would mean getting out of one fund and investing in another with the intention of making quick money. One would do well to remember that nobody can perfectly time the market so staying invested is the best option unless there are compelling reasons to exit.
Don’t put all the eggs in one basket:
This old age adage is of utmost importance. No matter what the risk profile of a person is, it is always advisable to diversify the risks associated. So putting one’s money in different asset classes is generally the best option as it averages the risks in each category. Thus, even investors of equity should be judicious and invest some portion of the investment in debt. Not all fund managers have the same acumen of fund management and with identification of the best man being a tough task; it is good to place money in the hands of several fund managers. This might reduce the maximum return possible, but will also reduce the risks.
Be regular:
Investing should be a habit and not an exercise undertaken at one’s wishes, if one has to really benefit from them. The basic philosophy of Rupee cost averaging would suggest that if one invests regularly through the ups and downs of the market, he would stand a better chance of generating more returns than the market for the entire duration.
Find the right funds:
Finding funds that do not charge many fees is of importance, as the fee charged ultimately goes from the pocket of the investor. This is even more important for debt funds as the returns from these funds are not much. Funds that charge more will reduce the yield to the investor. Finding the right funds is important and one should also use these funds for tax efficiency. Investors of equity should keep in mind that all dividends are currently tax-free in India and so their tax liabilities can be reduced if the dividend payout option is used. Investors of debt will be charged a tax on dividend distribution and so can easily avoid the payout options.
Keep track of your investments: Finding the right fund is important but even more important is to keep track of the way they are performing in the market. If the market is beginning to enter a bearish phase, then investors of equity too will benefit by switching to debt funds as the losses can be minimized. One can always switch back to equity if the equity market starts to show some buoyancy.
Know when to sell your mutual funds: Knowing when to exit a fund too is of utmost importance. One should book profits immediately when enough has been earned i.e. the initial expectation from the fund has been met with. Other factors like non-performance, hike in fee charged and change in any basic attribute of the fund etc. are some of the reasons for to exit.
Investments in mutual funds too are not risk-free and so investments warrant some caution and careful attention of the investor. Investing in mutual funds can be a dicey business for people who do not remember to follow these rules diligently, as people are likely to commit mistakes by being ignorant or adventurous enough to take risks more than what they can absorb. This is the reason why people would do well to remember these rules before they set out to invest their hard-earned money.
Higher or lower NAV doesn’t make any difference:
Some of the investors have the tendency to prefer a scheme that is available at lower NAV compared to the one available at higher NAV. Sometimes, they prefer a new scheme which is issuing units at Rs. 10 whereas the existing schemes in the same category are available at much higher NAVs. Investors may please note that in case of mutual funds schemes, lower or higher NAVs of similar type schemes of different mutual funds have no relevance. On the other hand, investors should choose a scheme based on its merit considering performance track record of the mutual fund, service standards, professional management, etc. This is explained in an example given below.
Example: Suppose scheme A is available at a NAV of Rs.15 and another scheme B at Rs.90. Both schemes are diversified equity oriented schemes. Investor has put Rs. 9,000 in each of the two schemes. He would get 600 units (9000/15) in scheme A and 100 units (9000/90) in scheme B. Assuming that the markets go up by 10 per cent and both the schemes perform equally well and it is reflected in their NAVs. NAV of scheme A would go up to Rs. 16.50 and that of scheme B to Rs. 99. Thus, the market value of investments would be Rs. 9,900 (600* 16.50) in scheme A and it would be the same amount of Rs. 9900 in scheme B (100*99). The investor would get the same return of 10% on his investment in each of the schemes. Thus, lower or higher NAV of the schemes and allotment of higher or lower number of units within the amount an investor is willing to invest, should not be the factors for making investment decision. Likewise, if a new equity oriented scheme is being offered at Rs.10 and an existing scheme is available for Rs. 90, should not be a factor for decision making by the investor.
Rupee cost averaging:
Most investors want to buy stocks when the prices are low and sell them when prices are high. But timing the market is time-consuming and risky. A more successful investment strategy is to adopt the method called Rupee Cost Averaging. To illustrate this lets compare investing the identical amounts through a SIP and in one lump sum.
Imagine Suresh invests Rs. 1000 every month in an equity mutual fund scheme, starting in January. His friend, Rajesh, invests Rs. 12000 in one lump sum in the same scheme. The following tables illustrate how their respective investments would have performed from Jan to Dec:
|
| Suresh’s Investment
| Rajesh’s Investment
|
Month
| NAV
| Amount
| Units
| Amount
| Units
|
Jan-10
| 9.345
| 1000
| 107.0091
| 12000
| 1284.1091
|
Feb-10
| 9.399
| 1000
| 106.3943
|
|
|
Mar-10
| 8.123
| 1000
| 123.1072
|
|
|
Apr-10
| 8.750
| 1000
| 114.2857
|
|
|
May-10
| 8.012
| 1000
| 124.8128
|
|
|
Jun-10
| 8.925
| 1000
| 112.0448
|
|
|
Jul-10
| 9.102
| 1000
| 109.8660
|
|
|
Aug-10
| 8.310
| 1000
| 120.3369
|
|
|
Sep-10
| 7.568
| 1000
| 132.1353
|
|
|
Oct-10
| 6.462
| 1000
| 154.7509
|
|
|
Nov-10
| 6.931
| 1000
| 144.2793
|
|
|
Dec-10
| 7.600
| 1000
| 131.5789
|
|
|
Total
|
| 12000
| 1480.6012
| 12000
| 1284.1091
|
As seen in the table, by investing with an SIP, you end up buying more units when the price is low and fewer units when the price is high. However, over a period of time these market fluctuations are generally averaged. And the average cost of your investment is often reduced.
At the end of the 12 months, Suresh has more units than Rajesh, even though they invested the same amount. That’s because the average cost of Suresh’s units is much lower than that of Rajesh. Rajesh made only one investment and that too when the per-unit price was high.
Suresh’s average unit price = 12000/1480.6012 = Rs. 8.105 Rajesh’s average unit price = Rs. 9.345
Steps for Rupee Cost averaging: -
The primary decision to be taken by the investor is the amount he is going to invest every time. The amount should be chosen such that it will be affordable regularly over the long-term basis.
Then the investor should decide how frequently he is going to invest such as each month, each quarter, each six months.
The basic principle is the investment should be done without fail irrespective of market fall or rise.
The day-to-day fluctuations don't matter in this concept. Thus investor should have long-term perspective
Conclusion: -
The concept will be successful and profitable when the portfolio of investment is of many companies. The strategy does not work in case of individual stocks when the prices are on a downtrend. However, if the investment is diversified it is hardly possible that all companies are on downtrend simultaneously so this concept works on well-diversified funds.